PULL RATES · Mega Evolution
Mega Evolution pull rates
A Mega Evolution booster pack holds 10 cards and a Basic Energy. In Mega Evolution, a Special Illustration Rare turns up in about 1 in 101 packs (about 0.4 in 36 packs), and one specific Special Illustration Rare is about 1 in 1,010 packs; a Mega Hyper Rare turns up in about 1 in 1,250 packs (about one in every 35 lots of 36 packs), and one specific Mega Hyper Rare is about 1 in 2,500 packs.
These rates were measured: TCGplayer Authentication Center: Mega Evolution pull rates (5,000+ packs, published 2025-09-30).
How rare is each card in Mega Evolution?
| Rarity | Per pack | In 36 packs | One specific card | Packs to pull every one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare 10 cards | 1 in 4.8 (21%) | 7.5 | 1 in 48 | 140 |
| Illustration Rare 22 cards | 1 in 9.2 (11%) | 3.9 | 1 in 202 | 746 |
| Ultra Rare 22 cards | 1 in 12 (8.2%) | 3.0 | 1 in 267 | 987 |
| Special Illustration Rare 10 cards | 1 in 101 (0.99%) | 0.4 | 1 in 1,010 | 2,959 |
| Mega Hyper Rare 2 cards | 1 in 1,250 (0.08%) | 0.03 | 1 in 2,500 | 3,750 |
“Packs to pull every one” is the average number of packs it takes to own every card of that rarity at least once; the last few take the longest.
The Mega Evolution chase cards and their odds
- Mega Lucario ex #188 Mega Hyper Rare · $203.81 (€171.45) · about 1 in 2,500 packs
- Mega Lucario ex #179 Special Illustration Rare · $161.52 (€138.79) · about 1 in 1,010 packs
- Mega Gardevoir ex #178 Special Illustration Rare · $159.24 (€106.00) · about 1 in 1,010 packs
- Mega Gardevoir ex #187 Mega Hyper Rare · $152.69 (€176.69) · about 1 in 2,500 packs
- Mega Venusaur ex #177 Special Illustration Rare · $105.74 (€125.36) · about 1 in 1,010 packs
- Mega Latias ex #181 Special Illustration Rare · $63.78 (€82.45) · about 1 in 1,010 packs
- Mega Kangaskhan ex #182 Special Illustration Rare · $50.53 (€47.00) · about 1 in 1,010 packs
- Mega Absol ex #180 Special Illustration Rare · $44.27 (€52.90) · about 1 in 1,010 packs
- Lillie's Determination #184 Special Illustration Rare · $42.17 (€44.22) · about 1 in 1,010 packs
- Acerola's Mischief #183 Special Illustration Rare · $25.35 (€22.86) · about 1 in 1,010 packs
Is opening Mega Evolution packs worth it?
At today’s prices the cards in an average Mega Evolution pack are worth about $3.29 (€2.41), and a sealed pack costs about $9.49 (TCGplayer market). In 400 simulated openings of 36 packs, the cards were worth more than the packs cost ($341.64) in 0.50% of them. The middle opening came to about $94.97; one in ten came to more than $241.18. Every card counts at its market price here, including bulk that is hard to sell, so what you would really get is lower.
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Open virtual Mega Evolution packs → The full Mega Evolution checklist →