PULL RATES · Chaos Rising
Chaos Rising pull rates
A Chaos Rising booster pack holds 10 cards and a Basic Energy. In Chaos Rising, a Ultra Rare turns up in about 1 in 12 packs (about 3.0 in 36 packs), and one specific Ultra Rare is about 1 in 217 packs; a Special Illustration Rare turns up in about 1 in 80 packs (about 0.5 in 36 packs), and one specific Special Illustration Rare is about 1 in 480 packs.
These rates were measured: TCGplayer Authentication Center: Pitch Black pull rates (4,000+ packs, published 2026-07-21).
How rare is each card in Chaos Rising?
| Rarity | Per pack | In 36 packs | One specific card | Packs to pull every one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare 10 cards | 1 in 4.8 (21%) | 7.6 | 1 in 48 | 139 |
| Illustration Rare 11 cards | 1 in 9.1 (11%) | 4.0 | 1 in 100 | 302 |
| Ultra Rare 18 cards | 1 in 12 (8.3%) | 3.0 | 1 in 217 | 758 |
| Special Illustration Rare 6 cards | 1 in 80 (1.3%) | 0.5 | 1 in 480 | 1,176 |
| Mega Hyper Rare 1 card | 1 in 1,111 (0.09%) | 0.03 | 1 in 1,111 | 1,111 |
“Packs to pull every one” is the average number of packs it takes to own every card of that rarity at least once; the last few take the longest.
The Chaos Rising chase cards and their odds
- Mega Greninja ex #122 Mega Hyper Rare · $113.86 (€119.10) · about 1 in 1,111 packs
- Mega Greninja ex #116 Special Illustration Rare · $106.20 (€107.23) · about 1 in 480 packs
- Cinccino ex #119 Special Illustration Rare · $36.60 (€33.35) · about 1 in 480 packs
- Mega Dragalge ex #118 Special Illustration Rare · $22.76 (€23.23) · about 1 in 480 packs
- Mega Floette ex #117 Special Illustration Rare · $20.81 (€20.46) · about 1 in 480 packs
- AZ's Tranquility #120 Special Illustration Rare · $18.23 (€19.87) · about 1 in 480 packs
- Roxie's Performance #121 Special Illustration Rare · $15.10 (€13.72) · about 1 in 480 packs
- Mega Greninja ex #100 Ultra Rare · $7.66 (€7.07) · about 1 in 217 packs
- Froakie #88 Illustration Rare · $4.99 (€5.17) · about 1 in 100 packs
- Xerneas #91 Illustration Rare · $4.16 (€5.20) · about 1 in 100 packs
Is opening Chaos Rising packs worth it?
At today’s prices the cards in an average Chaos Rising pack are worth about $2.48 (€1.58), and a sealed pack costs about $5.79 (TCGplayer market). In 400 simulated openings of 36 packs, the cards were worth more than the packs cost ($208.44) in 2.0% of them. The middle opening came to about $75.23; one in ten came to more than $173.51. Every card counts at its market price here, including bulk that is hard to sell, so what you would really get is lower.
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