PULL RATES · Paldean Fates
Paldean Fates pull rates
A Paldean Fates booster pack holds 10 cards and a Basic Energy. In Paldean Fates, a Shiny Ultra Rare turns up in about 1 in 50 packs (about 0.7 in 36 packs), and one specific Shiny Ultra Rare is about 1 in 600 packs; a Hyper Rare turns up in about 1 in 67 packs (about 0.5 in 36 packs), and one specific Hyper Rare is about 1 in 400 packs.
These are estimates for a typical Scarlet & Violet era pack, from community-tracked openings. Treat them as approximate: The Pokémon Company does not publish pull rates.
How rare is each card in Paldean Fates?
| Rarity | Per pack | In 36 packs | One specific card | Packs to pull every one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiny Rare 120 cards | 1 in 5 (20%) | 7.2 | 1 in 600 | 3,221 |
| Double Rare 10 cards | 1 in 6.7 (15%) | 5.4 | 1 in 67 | 195 |
| Illustration Rare 3 cards | 1 in 13 (8.0%) | 2.9 | 1 in 38 | 69 |
| Ultra Rare 5 cards | 1 in 15 (6.6%) | 2.4 | 1 in 76 | 173 |
| Special Illustration Rare 8 cards | 1 in 40 (2.5%) | 0.9 | 1 in 320 | 870 |
| Shiny Ultra Rare 12 cards | 1 in 50 (2.0%) | 0.7 | 1 in 600 | 1,862 |
| Hyper Rare 6 cards | 1 in 67 (1.5%) | 0.5 | 1 in 400 | 980 |
“Packs to pull every one” is the average number of packs it takes to own every card of that rarity at least once; the last few take the longest.
The Paldean Fates chase cards and their odds
- Mew ex #232 Special Illustration Rare · $828.72 (€477.50) · about 1 in 320 packs
- Charizard ex #234 Special Illustration Rare · $261.93 (€287.64) · about 1 in 320 packs
- Gardevoir ex #233 Special Illustration Rare · $159.13 (€129.21) · about 1 in 320 packs
- Pikachu #131 Shiny Rare · $73.74 (€44.54) · about 1 in 600 packs
- Snorlax #202 Shiny Rare · $45.41 (€26.22) · about 1 in 600 packs
- Mimikyu #160 Shiny Rare · $45.19 (€29.62) · about 1 in 600 packs
- Ditto #201 Shiny Rare · $35.68 (€17.28) · about 1 in 600 packs
- Charmander #109 Shiny Rare · $34.61 (€25.31) · about 1 in 600 packs
- Mew ex #216 Shiny Ultra Rare · $33.33 (€30.14) · about 1 in 600 packs
- Maushold #210 Shiny Rare · $29.66 (€12.31) · about 1 in 600 packs
Is opening Paldean Fates packs worth it?
At today’s prices the cards in an average Paldean Fates pack are worth about $7.54 (€5.03), and a sealed pack costs about $24.04 (TCGplayer market). In 400 simulated openings of 36 packs, the cards were worth more than the packs cost ($865.44) in 12% of them. The middle opening came to about $150.07; one in ten came to more than $920.47. Every card counts at its market price here, including bulk that is hard to sell, so what you would really get is lower.
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