PULL RATES · Lost Origin
Lost Origin pull rates
A Lost Origin booster pack holds 10 cards and a Basic Energy. In Lost Origin, a Rare Rainbow turns up in about 1 in 40 packs (about 0.9 in 36 packs), and one specific Rare Rainbow is about 1 in 600 packs; a Rare Secret turns up in about 1 in 56 packs (about 0.6 in 36 packs), and one specific Rare Secret is about 1 in 444 packs.
These are estimates for a typical Sword & Shield era pack, from community-tracked openings. Treat them as approximate: The Pokémon Company does not publish pull rates.
How rare is each card in Lost Origin?
| Rarity | Per pack | In 36 packs | One specific card | Packs to pull every one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Holo 22 cards | 1 in 4 (25%) | 9.0 | 1 in 88 | 325 |
| Gallery or Shiny Vault 30 cards | 1 in 5 (20%) | 7.2 | 1 in 150 | 599 |
| Rare Holo V 19 cards | 1 in 7.1 (14%) | 5.0 | 1 in 136 | 481 |
| Rare Holo VSTAR 6 cards | 1 in 17 (6.0%) | 2.2 | 1 in 100 | 245 |
| Rare Holo VMAX 5 cards | 1 in 17 (6.0%) | 2.2 | 1 in 83 | 190 |
| Radiant Rare 3 cards | 1 in 20 (5.0%) | 1.8 | 1 in 60 | 110 |
| Rare Ultra 31 cards | 1 in 22 (4.5%) | 1.6 | 1 in 689 | 2,774 |
| Rare Rainbow 15 cards | 1 in 40 (2.5%) | 0.9 | 1 in 600 | 1,991 |
| Rare Secret 8 cards | 1 in 56 (1.8%) | 0.6 | 1 in 444 | 1,208 |
“Packs to pull every one” is the average number of packs it takes to own every card of that rarity at least once; the last few take the longest.
The Lost Origin chase cards and their odds
- Giratina V #186 Rare Ultra · $820.22 (€747.21) · about 1 in 689 packs
- Aerodactyl V #180 Rare Ultra · $200.65 (€239.62) · about 1 in 689 packs
- Pikachu V #TG16 Rare Holo V · $105.29 (€124.01) · about 1 in 72 packs
- Pikachu VMAX #TG17 Rare Holo VMAX · $90.46 (€72.57) · about 1 in 54 packs
- Gengar #TG06 Trainer Gallery Rare Holo · $48.42 (€45.96) · about 1 in 150 packs
- Pikachu #TG05 Trainer Gallery Rare Holo · $38.91 (€33.45) · about 1 in 150 packs
- Mew VMAX #TG30 Rare Secret · $32.97 (€23.13) · about 1 in 112 packs
- Charizard #TG03 Trainer Gallery Rare Holo · $28.92 (€26.74) · about 1 in 150 packs
- Rotom V #177 Rare Ultra · $26.78 (€26.52) · about 1 in 689 packs
- Snorlax #TG10 Trainer Gallery Rare Holo · $25.16 (€12.95) · about 1 in 150 packs
Is opening Lost Origin packs worth it?
At today’s prices the cards in an average Lost Origin pack are worth about $10.15 (€8.36), and a sealed pack costs about $16.73 (TCGplayer market). In 400 simulated openings of 36 packs, the cards were worth more than the packs cost ($602.28) in 5.0% of them. The middle opening came to about $318.88; one in ten came to more than $531.49. Every card counts at its market price here, including bulk that is hard to sell, so what you would really get is lower.
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Open virtual Lost Origin packs → The full Lost Origin checklist →