PULL RATES · Shining Fates
Shining Fates pull rates
A Shining Fates booster pack holds 10 cards and a Basic Energy. In Shining Fates, a Rare Ultra turns up in about 1 in 22 packs (about 1.6 in 36 packs), and one specific Rare Ultra is about 1 in 200 packs; a Rare Secret turns up in about 1 in 56 packs (about 0.6 in 36 packs), and one specific Rare Secret is about 1 in 111 packs.
These are estimates for a typical Sword & Shield era pack, from community-tracked openings. Treat them as approximate: The Pokémon Company does not publish pull rates.
How rare is each card in Shining Fates?
| Rarity | Per pack | In 36 packs | One specific card | Packs to pull every one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Holo 7 cards | 1 in 4 (25%) | 9.0 | 1 in 28 | 73 |
| Gallery or Shiny Vault 122 cards | 1 in 5 (20%) | 7.2 | 1 in 610 | 3,285 |
| Rare Holo V 17 cards | 1 in 7.1 (14%) | 5.0 | 1 in 121 | 418 |
| Amazing Rare 3 cards | 1 in 17 (6.0%) | 2.2 | 1 in 50 | 92 |
| Rare Holo VMAX 13 cards | 1 in 17 (6.0%) | 2.2 | 1 in 217 | 689 |
| Rare Ultra 9 cards | 1 in 22 (4.5%) | 1.6 | 1 in 200 | 566 |
| Rare Rainbow 1 card | 1 in 40 (2.5%) | 0.9 | 1 in 40 | 40 |
| Rare Secret 2 cards | 1 in 56 (1.8%) | 0.6 | 1 in 111 | 167 |
“Packs to pull every one” is the average number of packs it takes to own every card of that rarity at least once; the last few take the longest.
The Shining Fates chase cards and their odds
- Charizard VMAX #SV107 Rare Holo VMAX · $110.19 (€127.31) · about 1 in 160 packs
- Morpeko #SV044 Rare Shiny · $23.16 (€20.56) · about 1 in 610 packs
- Suicune #SV022 Rare Shiny · $17.61 (€13.83) · about 1 in 610 packs
- Galarian Ponyta #SV047 Rare Shiny · $17.18 (€9.84) · about 1 in 610 packs
- Yamper #SV039 Rare Shiny · $16.94 (€7.09) · about 1 in 610 packs
- Ditto VMAX #SV119 Rare Holo VMAX · $16.92 (€10.24) · about 1 in 160 packs
- Galarian Rapidash #SV048 Rare Shiny · $13.64 (€6.42) · about 1 in 610 packs
- Minccino #SV093 Rare Shiny · $13.56 (€5.12) · about 1 in 610 packs
- Cinccino #SV094 Rare Shiny · $11.83 (€4.58) · about 1 in 610 packs
- Applin #SV012 Rare Shiny · $10.96 (€4.56) · about 1 in 610 packs
Is opening Shining Fates packs worth it?
At today’s prices the cards in an average Shining Fates pack are worth about $3.90 (€3.05), and a sealed pack costs about $18.42 (TCGplayer market). In 400 simulated openings of 36 packs, the cards were worth more than the packs cost ($663.12) in 0.00% of them. The middle opening came to about $121.63; one in ten came to more than $222.53. Every card counts at its market price here, including bulk that is hard to sell, so what you would really get is lower.
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